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18. 8. 2026
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The Club · ZEC down to $509.76 (0.76x vs entry)
Why it matters — Stop-loss: $150. 90% deployed · $652 dry powder · 13 assets.
Cockpitcrypto
6.7
1Signalsthe 1 that matter
01
The Club · ZEC down to $509.76 (0.76x vs entry)
6.7
Why — Stop-loss: $150. 90% deployed · $652 dry powder · 13 assets.
CockpitCrypto
2Watch1 themes · 7 notes

Market context

MajorsBTC $64,149 (-0.5% 24h) · ETH $1,895 (-0.9% 24h) · SOL $75.75 (-0.3% 24h)
Jane Street disclosed over $1B in spot BTC ETF holdings as of June 30, led by $828M in BlackRock's IBIT (Wu Blockchain citing SEC 13F).
BTC 'OG whale' taker buy/sell ratio spiked on OKX and other exchanges, a sign some large traders are positioning bullish (Ki Young Ju, CryptoQuant).
Riot Platforms sold 9,665 BTC ($732M) in H1 2026 at an average of $75,785, representing continued miner selling pressure (Lookonchain, SEC filing).
Clanker/Farcaster protocol revenue collapsed from $35.4M in Q1 2026 to ~$377K in July–Aug, highlighting waning socialfi activity (Wu Blockchain).
US interest expense on national debt hit a record $1.4T over the past 12 months, and is set to surpass Social Security as the largest outlay (Kobeissi Letter).
EtherFi's CEO argues the neobanking opportunity ($300B industry) is what crypto 'casino economy' builders are missing, per Bankless.
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Thesis review

1 items
Review The Club: ZEC at 0.76x vs entry (90% deployed).
What's expectedcrypto, next 1–2 weeks
BTC deleveraging phase: futures open interest relative to USDT reserves remains elevated above pre-ETF levelsongoing
Leveraged ETF inflows surging – US market exposure reached $420B, +$100B in 3 weeksthis week
Arthur Hayes' 'Yen-quake' thesis – BOJ/US Treasury yen intervention could spark dollar liquidity surgeongoing
Uniswap Earn vaults live (powered by Gauntlet/Morpho), bringing non-custodial yield to DeFi's top interfacelaunched
LLM read from today's sources qualitative read, no buy/sell calls
The Clubsource of truth · prices only
Club readas of 16:07

Stress point: SECZ 0.63× vs entry. Working: UNI 1.37×.

DeployedDry powderAssets13
70%Tokenization10%AI × Crypto5%Onchain Fundraising5%Privacy
gray = club entry · white = my fill
Tokenization Bucket70%
SECZex-CEPT40%40%$11.00$9.93$6.900.63×0.69×Bear $5 / Base $20 / Bull $70Base $46 / Bull $123
ONDO5%9%~$0.280$0.362$0.3631.30×1.00×Multi-year hold2–3yr core hold
SKY5%5%$0.070$0.068$0.0680.98×1.00×Bear $0.08 / Base $0.22 / Bull $0.52Base $0.37 / Bull $0.70
AAVEback in · 3%→5%5%9%$95.00$124.40$124.711.31×1.00×Bear $164 / Base $250 / Bull $400Base $400–700
AERO5%5%$0.561$0.5190.93×Long-term hold
UNI5%10%$3.12$4.27$4.281.37×1.00×$6–8 impliedTokenization tailwind
JUP5%9%$0.219$0.2211.01×Long-term hold
LINKclub out 18.5.0%3%$11.33$11.351.00×$13–14Core hold
AI × Crypto Bucket10%
NEAR2%2%$1.55$1.83$1.841.19×1.00×Base ~$9.40Bull: solver scale upside
VIRTUAL3%$0.650$0.7481.15×Long-term spot holdAI narrative
REPPO1%2%$0.013$0.0131.00×Early stage
CASHBeing deployed3%0%
Onchain Fundraising Bucket5%
METAMetaDAO2%$2,769Platform for token launchesPost safe-harbor rule
CASHWaiting for SEC safe-harbor rule3%0%
Privacy Bucket5%
ZECZcash5%4%$670.00$771.05$775.841.16×1.01×Stop-loss: $150Recovery post-Orchard bug
My picks (not in the club)2%
RENDER2%$1.52Personal satellite — my allocation only
Reference / macroBTC $78,562ETH $2,461SOL $96.91
Changes since last snapshot
ONDO 1.40× → 1.30× vs entry
AAVE 1.37× → 1.31× vs entry
NEAR 1.28× → 1.19× vs entry
VIRTUAL 1.27× → 1.15× vs entry
ZEC 1.27× → 1.16× vs entry
Deployment 92% → 0%
source: club thesis · live Kraken prices · daily snapshot