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15. 8. 2026

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August 2026 · Financial · Overview

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Market regime live

Risk regime · reading the tapeNeutral

The one thing today

Cross-market momentum reads balanced at 60/100 — watch the dollar, the 10Y and credit for the turn.

60Neutral

BearishNeutralBullish

Two books, one tape: crypto mixed (50/100) and equities risk-on (70/100). With the dollar reads tailwind, the cross-asset backdrop stays the swing factor into the next session.

15. 8. 2026·as of 07:15·crypto + stocks

Cross-asset · what's driving risk

US DollarTailwind

119.1

▼ 0.4% · dollar easing, risk tailwind

US 10YEasing

4.63%

▼ 5bp · yields easing

GoldHedge

$4,378

live spot · debasement / haven bid

Crude · WTICost push

$84.8

▲ 1.2% · adds cost-push

Crypto regimeMixed

BTC dominanceNo feed

—est

est · dominance unavailable

Altcoin seasonBTC-led

59 / 100

29 of top 50 beat BTC 30d

Fear & GreedFear

fear · balanced mood

Perp funding · OIMild long

+0.009%/8h

≈ +10% APR · balanced carry

Stocks regimeRisk-on

Trend · SPXUptrend

7,786

▲ 10.0% vs 200DMA · above the 200DMA

BreadthMixed

≈ 60%est

est · share of S&P > 200DMA

VIXComplacent

14.6

▲ 0.5% · low vol, complacent

HY creditTight

271 bp

• 0bp · credit calm

⚑︎What would change my mindconfirmations & flip-risks

✓Trend · SPX uptrend keeps the current read intact.

⚠︎A spike in the dollar or the 10Y is the first thing that breaks this.

Top crypto

The Club · SKY down to $0.0512 (0.73x vs entry)

Bear $0.08 / Base $0.22 / Bull $0.52. 90% deployed · $652 dry powder · 13 assets.

Open Crypto

Top stocks

September rate hike probability collapses, yet long-end yields rise

The breakdown of the typical rate-cut/bond-bullish relationship signals term premium repricing and fiscal concerns, making duration risky even if the Fed pauses.

Open Stocks

→What's expectedacross both books, next 1–2 weeks

◆US data & the Fed path set the cross-asset tone

◆Dollar & 10Y direction as the risk-turn signal

◆Crypto ETF flows vs equity breadth as the tell

Generated from today's sources qualitative read, no buy/sell calls