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$96.93
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50/100
BearishNeutralBullish
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—est
est · dominance unavailable
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27 of top 50 beat BTC 30d
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Biggest crypto news
The Club · ZEC down to $490.85 (0.73x vs entry)
Why it matters — Stop-loss: $150. 90% deployed · $652 dry powder · 13 assets.
1Signalsthe 1 that matter
01
The Club · ZEC down to $490.85 (0.73x vs entry)
6.8
Why — Stop-loss: $150. 90% deployed · $652 dry powder · 13 assets.
↗CockpitCrypto
2Watch1 themes · 7 notes
Market context
MajorsBTC $63,322 (-0.2% 24h) · ETH $1,883 (-0.1% 24h) · SOL $75.77 (-0.6% 24h)
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $131M net outflows on Aug 13, led by ARKB - $58.8M (Wu Blockchain).
BTC futures leverage (open interest/USDT reserves) fell from cycle peak >0.5 to 0.3, still above pre-ETF levels (Ki Young Ju).
HYPE whale sold another 923k tokens ($53M) in the past hour, still holding 969k ($55.5M) (Lookonchain).
Largest on-chain BTC bear closed $136M short with $1.65M profit, flipped to 40x long on $12.74M (Lookonchain).
US full-time employment fell 106k in July, fourth consecutive monthly decline totaling -1.11M since Jan (Kobeissi Letter).
Norway sovereign wealth fund now holds $81.87M in BitMine shares, gaining indirect ETH exposure (Wu Blockchain).
3Actions1 · save now, convert to tasks later
Thesis review
1 items
Review The Club: ZEC at 0.73x vs entry (90% deployed).
→What's expectedcrypto, next 1–2 weeks
◆Arthur Hayes 'Yen-quake' thesis: MOF likely repos US Treasuries for dollar, sell dollars for yen - injecting dollar liquidity, bullish for cryptoongoing
◆Uniswap Earn with Gauntlet-curated Morpho vaults live on mainnet - DeFi yield product integrating into primary swap interfacejust launched
◆SEC tokenization 'innovation exemption' plan further delayed - regulatory uncertainty for real-world asset (RWA) tokenization continuesongoing
◆CFTC tightens prediction market oversight while defending them from state intervention - regulatory framework evolvingongoing
LLM read from today's sources qualitative read, no buy/sell calls
◆The Clubsource of truth · prices only
Club readas of 16:07
Stress point: SECZ 0.63× vs entry. Working: UNI 1.37×.
Deployed—Dry powder—Assets13
70%Tokenization10%AI × Crypto5%Onchain Fundraising5%Privacy
gray = club entry · white = my fill
Tokenization Bucket70%
SECZex-CEPT40%40%$11.00$9.93$6.900.63×0.69×Bear $5 / Base $20 / Bull $70Base $46 / Bull $123
ONDO5%9%~$0.280$0.362$0.3631.30×1.00×Multi-year hold2–3yr core hold
SKY5%5%$0.070$0.068$0.0680.98×1.00×Bear $0.08 / Base $0.22 / Bull $0.52Base $0.37 / Bull $0.70
AAVEback in · 3%→5%5%9%$95.00$124.40$124.711.31×1.00×Bear $164 / Base $250 / Bull $400Base $400–700
AERO5%5%—$0.561$0.519—0.93×Long-term hold
UNI5%10%$3.12$4.27$4.281.37×1.00×$6–8 impliedTokenization tailwind
JUP5%9%—$0.219$0.221—1.01×Long-term hold
LINKclub out 18.5.0%3%—$11.33$11.35—1.00×$13–14Core hold
AI × Crypto Bucket10%
NEAR2%2%$1.55$1.83$1.841.19×1.00×Base ~$9.40Bull: solver scale upside
VIRTUAL3%—$0.650—$0.7481.15×—Long-term spot holdAI narrative
REPPO1%2%—$0.013$0.013—1.00×Early stage
CASHBeing deployed3%0%
Onchain Fundraising Bucket5%
METAMetaDAO2%———$2,769——Platform for token launchesPost safe-harbor rule
CASHWaiting for SEC safe-harbor rule3%0%
Privacy Bucket5%
ZECZcash5%4%$670.00$771.05$775.841.16×1.01×Stop-loss: $150Recovery post-Orchard bug
My picks (not in the club)2%
RENDER—2%——$1.52——Personal satellite — my allocation only
Reference / macroBTC $78,562ETH $2,461SOL $96.91
Changes since last snapshot
▼ONDO 1.40× → 1.30× vs entry
▼AAVE 1.37× → 1.31× vs entry
▼NEAR 1.28× → 1.19× vs entry
▼VIRTUAL 1.27× → 1.15× vs entry
▼ZEC 1.27× → 1.16× vs entry
▼Deployment 92% → 0%
source: club thesis · live Kraken prices · daily snapshot