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Biggest crypto news
The Club · ZEC down to $494.46 (0.74x vs entry)
Why it matters — Stop-loss: $150. 90% deployed · $652 dry powder · 13 assets.
1Signalsthe 1 that matter
01
The Club · ZEC down to $494.46 (0.74x vs entry)
6.8
Why — Stop-loss: $150. 90% deployed · $652 dry powder · 13 assets.
↗CockpitCrypto
2Watch1 themes · 7 notes
Market context
MajorsBTC $63,623 (+0.3% 24h) · ETH $1,890 (+0.7% 24h) · SOL $76.06 (+0.7% 24h)
BTC spot volume hit lowest since 2019; Glassnode flags $58.5K downside risk if thin bids break (Wu Blockchain, Glassnode).
Paxos-linked whale sold another 800 BTC ($50.7M) via Wintermute; total 2,500 BTC sold in 2 months (Lookonchain).
Largest on-chain BTC short now 2,136 BTC ($136M) with liquidation at $64,592, as a gambler adds to position (Lookonchain).
Solana outage disrupted 102 of 699 validators; network kept producing blocks, 85% continued voting (Wu Blockchain).
Gnosis DAO voting on transition from L1 to Ethereum ZK L2; reflects ongoing L2 migration trend (Ignas).
Arthur Hayes details 'Yen-quake' thesispreferred option to strengthen yen involves MOF repo-ing US Treasuries for dollars, boosting liquidity (Arthur Hayes).
3Actions1 · save now, convert to tasks later
Thesis review
1 items
Review The Club: ZEC at 0.74x vs entry (90% deployed).
→What's expectedcrypto, next 1–2 weeks
◆BTC spot volume remains near historic lows; demand-side catalyst needed to break $63K-$68.7K rangeongoing
◆Glassnode warns of potential $58.5K breakdown if BTC loses June low; leverage and thin liquidity amplify riskthis week
◆Arthur Hayes expects dollar liquidity surge from US-Japan yen intervention to lift cryptoongoing
◆Uniswap Earn live with Gauntlet-curated Morpho vaults; could drive DeFi yield demand on Ethereum31 Jul
LLM read from today's sources qualitative read, no buy/sell calls
◆The Clubsource of truth · prices only
Club readas of 16:07
Stress point: SECZ 0.63× vs entry. Working: UNI 1.37×.
Deployed—Dry powder—Assets13
70%Tokenization10%AI × Crypto5%Onchain Fundraising5%Privacy
gray = club entry · white = my fill
Tokenization Bucket70%
SECZex-CEPT40%40%$11.00$9.93$6.900.63×0.69×Bear $5 / Base $20 / Bull $70Base $46 / Bull $123
ONDO5%9%~$0.280$0.362$0.3631.30×1.00×Multi-year hold2–3yr core hold
SKY5%5%$0.070$0.068$0.0680.98×1.00×Bear $0.08 / Base $0.22 / Bull $0.52Base $0.37 / Bull $0.70
AAVEback in · 3%→5%5%9%$95.00$124.40$124.711.31×1.00×Bear $164 / Base $250 / Bull $400Base $400–700
AERO5%5%—$0.561$0.519—0.93×Long-term hold
UNI5%10%$3.12$4.27$4.281.37×1.00×$6–8 impliedTokenization tailwind
JUP5%9%—$0.219$0.220—1.01×Long-term hold
LINKclub out 18.5.0%3%—$11.33$11.35—1.00×$13–14Core hold
AI × Crypto Bucket10%
NEAR2%2%$1.55$1.83$1.841.19×1.00×Base ~$9.40Bull: solver scale upside
VIRTUAL3%—$0.650—$0.7481.15×—Long-term spot holdAI narrative
REPPO1%2%—$0.013$0.013—1.00×Early stage
CASHBeing deployed3%0%
Onchain Fundraising Bucket5%
METAMetaDAO2%———$2,769——Platform for token launchesPost safe-harbor rule
CASHWaiting for SEC safe-harbor rule3%0%
Privacy Bucket5%
ZECZcash5%4%$670.00$771.05$775.841.16×1.01×Stop-loss: $150Recovery post-Orchard bug
My picks (not in the club)2%
RENDER—2%——$1.52——Personal satellite — my allocation only
Reference / macroBTC $78,562ETH $2,460SOL $96.92
Changes since last snapshot
▼ONDO 1.40× → 1.30× vs entry
▼AAVE 1.37× → 1.31× vs entry
▼NEAR 1.28× → 1.19× vs entry
▼VIRTUAL 1.27× → 1.15× vs entry
▼ZEC 1.27× → 1.16× vs entry
▼Deployment 92% → 0%
source: club thesis · live Kraken prices · daily snapshot