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5. 8. 2026
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Market regime live
Risk regime · reading the tapeNeutral
The one thing today

Both crypto and equities are stuck in a neutral 50/100 momentum, and the key trigger to watch is a break above 60% BTC dominance or a gold rally above $4,200 to signal a directional shift.

50Neutral
BearishNeutralBullish

Crypto and equities are both in neutral territory with 50/100 momentum, reflecting a lack of conviction. Gold remains elevated near $4,136 as a hedge, reinforcing a cautious macro backdrop. The cross-asset state is directional for risk, but without a clear catalyst, markets are range-bound.

5. 8. 2026·as of 07:15·crypto + stocks
Cross-asset · what's driving risk
US DollarNo feed
est
est · DXY unavailable
US 10YNo feed
est
est · DGS10 unavailable
GoldHedge
$4,136
live spot · debasement / haven bid
Crude · WTINo feed
est
est · WTI unavailable
Crypto regimeMixed
BTC dominanceBalanced
56.6%
balanced book
Altcoin seasonBitcoin season
20 / 100
10 of top 50 beat BTC 30d
Fear & GreedFear
27
fear · balanced mood
Perp funding · OIMild long
+0.001%/8h
≈ +1% APR · balanced carry
Stocks regimeNeutral
Trend · SPXNo feed
est
est · 200DMA unavailable
BreadthMixed
≈ 60%est
est · share of S&P > 200DMA
VIXNo feed
est
est · VIX unavailable
HY creditNo feed
est
est · OAS unavailable
⚑︎What would change my mindconfirmations & flip-risks
The neutral momentum in both crypto and equities confirms our cautious stance; no immediate risk-off signal.
⚠︎A sharp drop in Bitcoin dominance (below 50%) could signal altcoin season and shift risk appetite, potentially disrupting the current balance.
⚠︎A sustained move in gold above $4,200 would indicate a flight to safety, negating the neutral risk-on/off equilibrium.
Top crypto
The Club · ONDO up to $0.376 (1.34x vs entry)
Multi-year hold. 91% deployed · $652 dry powder · 13 assets.
Open Crypto
Top stocks
Top stocks brief generating…
Open Stocks
What's expectedacross both books, next 1–2 weeks
Crypto weekly options expiry (Friday) – potential volatility spikeFri
US CPI data release – inflation surprise could shift risk appetiteNext Week
SPX trending data update – missing feed could resolve to confirm or break neutralityTBD
Generated from today's sources qualitative read, no buy/sell calls