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24. 7. 2026
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Stocks live · indices
S&P 500
7,653
-0.3% 24h
Nasdaq
26,151
+0.7% 24h
Stocks momentumRisk-on
70/100
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend · SPXUptrend
7,408
▲ 5.8% vs 200DMA · above the 200DMA
BreadthMixed
≈ 60%est
est · share of S&P > 200DMA
VIXCalm
16.6
▼ 2.4% · vol contained
HY creditTight
268 bp
• 1bp · credit calm
Biggest stocks news
US 10-Year Real Yields Break Higher as Inflation Risks Persist
Why it matters — Higher structural real yields raise the hurdle rate for equities, particularly high-multiple growth and technology stocks, forcing a reassessment of equity risk premiums.
𝕏x.comrates
8.5
1Signalsthe 5 that matter
01
US 10-Year Real Yields Break Higher as Inflation Risks Persist
Why — Higher structural real yields raise the hurdle rate for equities, particularly high-multiple growth and technology stocks, forcing a reassessment of equity risk premiums.
𝕏x.comRates
8.5
02
July FOMC Uncertainty Surges as Rate Hike Odds Climb
Why — An unexpected rate hike or a highly hawkish shift in Fed guidance would catch a highly leveraged equity market completely off guard, driving immediate volatility.
𝕏x.comRates
8.2
03
Mag-7 Suffers Historic Selloff as Hedge Funds De-Risk
7.8
Why — The rapid unwind of the consensus AI trade means that market leadership is fracturing, requiring investors to pivot away from crowded mega-cap tech into laggards.
𝕏x.comEquities
04
Tesla Q2 Net Income Misses on Capex Spike and Margin Compression
Why — Tesla's results underscore the heavy capital intensity of the AI transition, where massive capex is depressing near-term profitability and cash flow.
𝕏x.comEarnings
7.5
05
Google's Q2 Net Income Heavily Boosted by Equity Markups
Why — Investors relying on headline P/E ratios for Alphabet may be overestimating core earnings power, masking a slowing growth trajectory in its primary search and cloud businesses.
𝕏x.comEarnings
7.2
2Watch3 themes · 6 notes

Rates & the Fed

Nick Timiraos (WSJ) reports the July FOMC meeting is highly uncertain, with hawks showing high conviction to act while others prefer to wait.
Beth Hammack (Cleveland Fed) maintains that inflation remains too high and broad-based, giving the Fed license to focus on tightening.

Positioning & Flows

The Market Ear notes asset managers' VIX futures positioning has dropped to the 1st percentile, indicating extreme complacency despite breaking technicals.
Liz Ann Sonders highlights that AAII bullish sentiment plunged 15 percentage points to 29.6%, while bearish sentiment jumped to 42.3%.

AI & Tech Thematics

Warren Pies reports GPU availability is tightening again, with B200 at 0% and GH200 tightening aggressively, pushing the Fast Availability Index below 10%.
Citrini Research suggests pivoting away from consensus AI capex winners into less established thematic trades with real upside.
3Actions4 · save now, convert to tasks later

Watchlist

4 items
Track the June PCE inflation print, with core expected at +0.18% (+3.3% y/y) and headline expected at -0.07% (+3.7% y/y).
Monitor US initial weekly jobless claims after the unexpected plunge to 187k.
Watch the 4.70% level on the US 10-Year Treasury yield for signs of further upward breakout.
Observe crude oil price action and speculative short positioning levels amid ongoing US military strikes in the Middle East.
What's expectedstocks, next 1–2 weeks
June PCE Inflation Releasethis week
July FOMC Rate Decision and Powell Press Conferencenext week
S&P 500 Q2 Earnings Season Accelerationongoing
LLM read from today's sources qualitative read, no buy/sell calls
Macro backdropat a glance
Fed pathCurve flat (+34 bp)
10Y Treasury4.67% · Tightening
Crude (WTI)$84.4 · Cost push