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18. 7. 2026
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Stocks live · indices
S&P 500
7,653
-0.3% 24h
Nasdaq
26,151
+0.7% 24h
Stocks momentumNeutral
60/100
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend · SPXNo feed
est
est · 200DMA unavailable
BreadthMixed
≈ 60%est
est · share of S&P > 200DMA
VIXNo feed
est
est · VIX unavailable
HY creditTight
271 bp
• 0bp · credit calm
Biggest stocks news
Semiconductor Sector Nears Bear Market Territory Amid Extreme Rotation
Why it matters — The breakdown in semis threatens the primary momentum engine of the S&P 500, forcing active managers to aggressively reallocate capital.
𝕏x.comequities
8.5
1Signalsthe 5 that matter
01
Semiconductor Sector Nears Bear Market Territory Amid Extreme Rotation
8.5
Why — The breakdown in semis threatens the primary momentum engine of the S&P 500, forcing active managers to aggressively reallocate capital.
𝕏x.comEquities
02
Fed Officials Signal Potential Policy Reconsideration on Inflation Risks
8.2
Why — Investors must price in a higher-for-longer rate regime, limiting the valuation expansion of high-multiple growth stocks.
𝕏x.comRates
03
US Launches Second Round of Strikes on Iran Amid Blockade Threats
Why — Geopolitical escalation in the Middle East introduces sudden tail risks for global energy supply and crude oil volatility.
Ssherwood.newsEnergy
8.0
04
Buyside Tech Capex Expectations Far Outstrip Street Projections
7.8
Why — Hyperscaler margins may face severe pressure if these elevated capex expectations fail to generate immediate, proportional revenue.
𝕏x.comEarnings
05
Negative Correlation Between Non-Tech Stocks and Semis Reaches Record Extremes
Why — Traditional diversification models are failing as non-tech and tech move in opposite directions, creating high intra-market dispersion.
𝕏x.comEquities
7.5
2Watch3 themes · 6 notes

Rates & the Fed

Jim Bianco suggests the Fed should hike rates to calm bond markets and lower 10-year yields [x]
Kevin Warsh states 'mission accomplished' is not his view after the latest CPI print [x]

Earnings & sectors

The Market Ear notes accounting earnings look healthy but cash generation is becoming less convincing [x]
Warren Pies points out that the K3 drama hurting labs could hurt hyperscalers by proxy [x]

Macro data & sentiment

Liz Ann Sonders reports July UMich Consumer Sentiment rose to 54.4, beating the prior 49.5 [x]
Brad Setser highlights a shifting European trade policy toward China aligning Paris, Berlin, and Brussels [x]
3Actions4 · save now, convert to tasks later

Watchlist

4 items
Track the implementation and shipping disruptions of the Iranian blockade starting July 14
Monitor semiconductor drawdown levels to see if the sector breaches the official -20% bear market threshold
Watch the progression of Q2 corporate earnings reports to verify if cash generation matches accounting earnings
Observe whether 10-year Treasury yields continue to rise as bond markets digest hawkish Fed commentary
What's expectedstocks, next 1–2 weeks
Fed policy rate debate and potential July hike positioningthis month
Hyperscaler capex announcements during upcoming tech earningsnext 2 weeks
Further US-Iran military escalations and impact on crude pricingongoing
LLM read from today's sources qualitative read, no buy/sell calls
Macro backdropat a glance
Fed pathCurve no feed (—)
10Y Treasury— · No feed
Crude (WTI)— · No feed