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15. 7. 2026

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July 2026 · Financial · Stocks

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Stocks live · indices

S&P 500

7,653

-0.3% 24h

Nasdaq

26,151

+0.7% 24h

Stocks momentumRisk-on

70/100

BearishNeutralBullish

Trend · SPXUptrend

7,544

▲ 8.2% vs 200DMA · above the 200DMA

BreadthMixed

≈ 60%est

est · share of S&P > 200DMA

VIXCalm

17.2

▲ 14.2% · vol contained

HY creditTight

269 bp

• 0bp · credit calm

Biggest stocks news

June CPI Cools Significantly Below Estimates

Why it matters — The cooler inflation print provides the Fed with substantial room to consider rate cuts later this year, easing pressure on equity valuations and fixed income yields.

𝕏x.commacro

9.0

1Signalsthe 5 that matter

June CPI Cools Significantly Below Estimates

Why — The cooler inflation print provides the Fed with substantial room to consider rate cuts later this year, easing pressure on equity valuations and fixed income yields.

𝕏x.comMacro

9.0

Kevin Warsh Rejects Current Inflation Gauges and Declares 'Mission Not Accomplished'

8.5

Why — If Warsh's view gains traction, Wall Street may need to overhaul how it models the Fed's reaction function, potentially introducing higher volatility into rate expectations.

𝕏x.comRates

Oracle's Compute Expansion Suffers Severe Market Rejection

Why — Investors are punishing aggressive, unproven AI-related capital expenditure, signaling that the 'spend money to make money' narrative is facing strict limits in corporate credit and equity pricing.

𝕏x.comCredit

8.0

Goldman Sachs Backlog Surges to 5-Year High

7.5

Why — A massive investment banking backlog suggests that corporate deal-making, IPOs, and debt issuance are poised to accelerate, providing a strong tailwind for financial sector earnings.

𝕏x.comEarnings

China's State Entities Emerge as the Oil Market's New Central Bank

7.0

Why — Energy investors must monitor Chinese domestic storage and state purchasing patterns over traditional OPEC supply cuts to gauge global oil price floors.

𝕏x.comEnergy

2Watch3 themes · 6 notes

Rates & the Fed

Andy Constan notes that the Fed is likely to pause and utilize a task force through the midterms, with a hike or cut decision deferred to December.

Warren Pies argues that Fed Governor Waller's recent speech defined a hawkish reaction function rather than a rigid forecast, preserving policy flexibility.

Earnings & Sectors

Aehr Test Systems surged 26% in after-hours trading following record quarterly bookings and strong backlog demand across AI processors and silicon photonics.

JPMorgan Chase's CFO highlighted that corporate tokenization expense is a key area of focus, though it remains financially immaterial for this fiscal year.

Positioning & Flows

The Market Ear reports that mega-cap tech call option volumes have returned, even as the volatility of the momentum factor remains exceptionally high relative to the broader market.

Robinhood retail traders continue to aggressively buy market drawdowns, maintaining a strong bid under high-beta thematic equities.

3Actions4 · save now, convert to tasks later

Watchlist

4 items

Track the widening credit spreads of high-capex technology issuers following Oracle's severe bond market selloff.

Monitor incoming US retail sales and fixed asset investment data to assess if domestic growth is mirroring China's economic weakness.

Watch the implementation of the Iranian maritime blockade and US response to evaluate potential $15/barrel risk premiums in crude.

Follow upcoming Q2 bank earnings releases to verify if Goldman's record investment banking backlog is a sector-wide trend.

→What's expectedstocks, next 1–2 weeks

◆US retail sales and industrial production data releasesthis week

◆Further Q2 corporate earnings reports from major financial and technology firmsthis week

◆Fed speaker comments clarifying the central bank's reaction function post-CPIongoing

LLM read from today's sources qualitative read, no buy/sell calls

Macro backdropat a glance

Fed pathCurve flat (+40 bp)

10Y Treasury4.62% · Tightening

Crude (WTI)$69.6 · Steady