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July 2026 · Financial · Stocks
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S&P 500
7,653
-0.3% 24h
Nasdaq
26,151
+0.7% 24h
Stocks momentumNeutral
60/100
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend · SPXUptrend
7,515
▲ 7.8% vs 200DMA · above the 200DMA
BreadthMixed
≈ 60%est
est · share of S&P > 200DMA
VIXNo feed
—est
est · VIX unavailable
HY creditNo feed
—est
est · OAS unavailable
Biggest stocks news
Fed Governor Waller Delivers Hawkish Shift Ahead of June CPI
Why it matters — Investors must prepare for immediate upward pressure on yields and downside equity volatility if core CPI prints hot, as the Fed has explicitly put near-term rate hikes back on the table.
1Signalsthe 5 that matter
01
Fed Governor Waller Delivers Hawkish Shift Ahead of June CPI
9.0
Why — Investors must prepare for immediate upward pressure on yields and downside equity volatility if core CPI prints hot, as the Fed has explicitly put near-term rate hikes back on the table.
𝕏x.comRates
02
Fed Funds Futures Price in 45% Probability of July Rate Hike
8.5
Why — A high-probability threat of a near-term rate hike will cap equity valuation multiples and keep upward pressure on the short end of the Treasury curve.
𝕏x.comRates
03
Core CPI Expectations and Key Categories to Watch
Why — Any deviation from the consensus core CPI index level of 336.93 will serve as a major market catalyst, determining whether the Fed holds steady or shifts to an active tightening bias.
𝕏x.comMacro
8.0
04
Delta Air Lines Highlights Structural Cost Pressures in Aviation
Why — Investors should favor premium, structurally advantaged operators over low-cost airlines that are unable to absorb rising, sticky input costs.
𝕏x.comEarnings
7.2
05
Profitable Small Caps Outperform Non-Profitable Cohort Year-to-Date
Why — In a high-rate environment, speculative, non-profitable small caps face severe financing headwinds, making quality and profitability screens essential for small-cap allocations.
𝕏x.comEquities
6.8
2Watch3 themes · 6 notes
Rates & the Fed
Nick Timiraos (WSJ) notes a massive volume of Fed speakers scheduled this week, including Waller, Williams, Cook, Logan, Jefferson, Goolsbee, Musalem, Bowman, and Schmid.
Sen. John Kennedy (R., La.) expressed skepticism on monetary easing based on expected AI productivity gains, stating the Fed's only real options are sitting tight or raising rates.
Earnings & Sectors
Liz Ann Sonders (Schwab) highlights that sector leadership is being defined by the percentage of stocks trading at 4-week and 52-week highs amid a massive July rotation.
Sherwood News reports Nike has sunk to its lowest level since 2014 following a warning of a challenged sales environment in its Q4 report.
Portfolio Strategy
Citrini warns that high-beta stocks are essentially selling the distant future, and in bad markets, investors pay 'rent' in the form of lower multiples even if earnings estimates hold.
Citrini advises against progressively buying the dip too early in a drawdown, as it can lead to portfolio mismanagement at the actual market lows.
3Actions4 · save now, convert to tasks later
Watchlist
4 items
Track the June CPI release and check if the Core CPI Index lands above or below the consensus estimate of 336.93.
Monitor airfare and lodging sub-components within the core CPI print for signs of persistent services inflation.
Watch the upcoming PPI print to assess the pipeline implications for the Fed's preferred PCE inflation gauge.
Follow the upcoming congressional testimonies of Fed officials for further confirmation of a hawkish policy shift.
→What's expectedstocks, next 1–2 weeks
◆June CPI Inflation Reportthis week
◆June PPI Inflation Datathis week
◆Fed July Policy Meeting and Rate Decision29 Jul
◆Q2 Corporate Earnings Season Accelerationongoing
LLM read from today's sources qualitative read, no buy/sell calls
Macro backdropat a glance
Fed pathCurve no feed (—)
10Y Treasury— · No feed
Crude (WTI)$69.6 · Steady